On Monday, Germany (0-0-2) will host Italy (1-0-2) at Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach. The fourth of six group stage games will begin at 2:45 p.m. ET. We preview the odds and lines for Germany vs. Italy below, as well as our top UEFA Nations League bets, choices, and predictions.
In this round of the group stage, just a few top games will be highlighted by the two global soccer powerhouses. The game ended in a 1-1 tie on June 4th.
Surprisingly, Germany’s three group stage matches have all ended in a 1-1 draw. Italy, the world’s No. 6 squad, has drawn twice: 1-1 against Germany and 0-0 against England. They won 2-1 against Hungary.
This will be the prime training location for a new wave of Italian talent, having made international headlines when they were knocked out of World Cup qualifying. They’re captained by Lorenzo Pellegrini, a 25-year-old Roma midfielder who has two of the team’s three goals in the UEFA Nations League.
Germany, the world’s 12th-ranked squad, will be a major challenger in the Qatar World Cup in 2022. The assault is led by M Thomas Müller and F Kai Havertz, with GK Manuel Neuer anchoring the backline.
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Odds, prices, selections, and predictions for Germany vs. Italy
Tipico Sportsbook provided the odds; for a complete list, go to USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds website. At 12:12 a.m. ET, the lines were last updated.
Germany -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Italy +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Draw +2802.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)
Prediction
Germany defeats Italy 1-0.
GERMANY is a -133 bet.
Germany has an extremely talented side with many big-name European talents taking the pitch. While Germany didn’t come out on top against Italy in the 1st meeting, it did have double the shots on target and also had 68% of the possession in that battle.
Most of the time, a team with those splits will win, and with this match in Germany, the home side should have the edge.
While they did play on Saturday, Man City M İlkay Gündoğan and Muller both didn’t start, so they should be rested enough to play the bulk of the game against Italy.
Through three games, Italy has only had 11 shots on target. Given their lack of consistent attempts, I’d back Germany to come out on top as they should have in the 1st matchup.
UNDER 2.5 BET (-117).
Between Italy and its opponent, 5 goals have been scored. Germany can barely top that with 6. The only game between the 2 teams that would have gone over this total is Italy’s 2-1 win over Austria.
As noted as well, Italy hasn’t had a powerful attack. They do not have a player in the Nations League that has more than 10 goals. It’s an extremely inexperienced side.
Germany has only scored 3 goals in 3 games, so their attack hasn’t erupted like many expected. Germany has had 11 shots on target in 28 attempts, so they have struggled to put it on the frame.
Both teams have had issues in the Nations League, and I expect their current form to yield a low-scoring affair.
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