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Predicting the outcome of the 2022 World Cup

Updated  

Jun-19 18:07 first published at 18:07 PM


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The World Cup in 2022 is only five months away.

The defending champions, France, will compete in the tournament.

Four years ago, Les Bleus overcame Croatia 4-2 in the final. In Qatar, they will be one of the favorites to defend their championship.

However, there are a number of other teams that will bet on their chances of winning.

Brazil has a lot of quality and will be difficult to beat.

Argentina won the Copa America in 2021 and defeated Italy in the Finalissima lately. When the tournament begins, Lionel Messi will be 35 years old, and he will be motivated to perform in what will very definitely be his final World Cup.

Spain, Germany, England, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Portugal are all capable of winning.

MAY 12TH, DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: (L-R) The Original FIFA World Cup Trophy was unveiled at Dubai’s Coca-Cola Arena before embarking on its fifth voyage, which will take it to 51 countries and territories, on May 12, 2022 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (Coca-Cola photo by Cedric Ribeiro/Getty Images)

Who are the favorites, though? The Analyst have used an AI model to calculate every team’s chances of winning the 2022 World Cup.

They have simulated the outcome of the tournament 1000 times and ranked every team from least likely to most likely winners.

View their findings below…

=29. Costa Rica – 0%

=29. Saudi Arabia – 0%

=29. Cameroon – 0%

=26. Tunisia – 0.01%

=26. Morocco – 0.01%

=26. Canada – 0.01%

=24. Ghana – 0.02%

=24. Australia – 0.02%

23. Ecuador – 0.17%

22. Senegal – 0.19%

Soccer Football – Africa Cup of Nations – Semi Final – Burkina Faso v Senegal – Ahmadou Ahidjo Stadium, Yaounde, Cameroon – February 2, 2022 Senegal’s Sadio Mane reacts REUTERS/Thaier Al-Sudani

21. Serbia – 0.24%

=20. Korea Republic – 0.35%

=20. Qatar – 0.35%

19. Wales – 0.41%

18. United States – 0.46%

17. Japan – 0.48%

16. Iran – 0.60%

15. Poland – 0.82%

14. Switzerland – 1.00%

13. Mexico – 1.37%

12. Uruguay – 1.48%

11. Denmark – 2.03%

10. Croatia – 2.31%

9. Portugal – 5.11%

SEVILLE, SPAIN – JUNE 02: Cristiano Ronaldo of Portugal looks on during the UEFA Nations League League A Group 2 match between Spain and Portugal at Estadio Benito Villamarin on June 02, 2022 in Seville, Spain. (Photo by David Ramos/Getty Images )

8. Argentina – 6.45%

7. Germany – 7.21%

6. Netherlands – 7.70%

5. Belgium – 7.90%

4. England – 8.03%

3. Spain – 11.53%

2. Brazil – 15.73%

1. France – 17.93%

ICYMI: We’re now down to 32 teams, and we’ve got our first 2022 World Cup predictions.

France to become the first team since Brazil in 1962 to retain the World Cup? 🤔🔮

Full article: ➡️ https://t.co/vodGiGLhYU pic.twitter.com/Jyt5w9oAIj — The Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) June 15, 2022

According to the study, France have a 17.93% chance of retaining their crown and are the most likely winners of the tournament.

They will need to perform much better than they did at Euro 2020, though, where they crashed out at the last-16 stage.

Brazil are second favourites, with Spain third.

England endured a nightmare June where they failed to win any of their four Nations League matches, but they are still the fourth favourites to win the tournament.

They have been given an 8.03% chance of winning their first major trophy in 56 years.

Despite Argentina being 33 games unbeaten and having won two pieces of silverware in the last year, they are only eighth favourites.

While Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal side are ninth favourites.

Senegal are Africa’s most likely team to win the World Cup but have been given just a 0.19% chance of winning the title, while three sides have been given no hope whatsoever to lift the World Cup: Cameroon, Costa Rica and Saudi Arabia.

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