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Qatar is the most likely host of the 2022 World Cup, according to an artificial intelligence (AI) report by The Analyst.

Updated  

Jun-20 10:07 first published at 10:07 AM


Qatar has a 0.35 percent probability of winning the World Cup, which is higher than all other eligible Arab teams.

This year’s FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 has used AI technology to estimate how well teams would perform throughout the global sporting event.

The data was gathered using an AI model that ran 1000 simulations of the event’s results and scored each team’s odds of winning from least likely to most likely.

According to the research, France has the best chance of retaining its crown, with a 17.93 percent likelihood of doing so.

The French, on the other hand, will have to do a lot better than they did at Euro 2020, when they were knocked out at the last-16 round.

In the rankings, Brazil came in second, followed by Spain.

England was placed fourth despite suffering a terrible month in June, in which it lost all four of its Nations League games.

According to the research, the Three Lions have an 8.03 percent chance of winning their first big prize in 56 years.

Despite a 33-game winning streak and two crowns the previous year, Argentina is only the eighth favorite.

Portugal is the eighth favorite, led by Cristiano Ronaldo.

Senegal is the most likely African side to win the World Cup, but it has only a 0.19 percent chance of doing so, while Cameroon, Costa Rica, and Saudi Arabia have been given 0% chances of winning the tournament.

The chances of the host country winning the World Cup are 0.35 percent, which is higher than all other eligible Arab teams.

Brazil vs. France

The Analyst’s global rankings model has been quite tight in recent months between the current men’s football champions, France, and the tournament’s record champions, Brazil.

Both teams have held the top rank on occasion. However, France has consistently been the side most likely to win the World Cup from the initial draw, according to The Analyst’s model for predicting tournament results. France is still one of the favorites to win the World Cup in Qatar.

The comparative difficulty of Brazil’s path, particularly its prospective quarterfinal opponents, is one of the reasons The Analyst’s supercomputer chose France over Brazil.

Switzerland, Serbia, and Cameroon are in Group G. If Brazil wins the group, it will take on the Group H runner-up, which will be either Portugal, Uruguay, Korea Republic or Ghana.

It is most likely that the quarterfinal opponent will be Group E’s winners, which could potentially be Spain or Germany, two of the seven teams with the highest likelihood of winning the World Cup and two of the top six teams in The Analyst’s team rankings.

The second-place team from Group C, which consists of Argentina, Mexico, Poland, and Saudi Arabia, will face France in round 16, if France wins its group.

The winner of Group B, likely to be England as predicted by the football analysts, or the runner-up from Group A, will then play in the quarterfinals.

The Netherlands is expected to win the group, while either Senegal, Ecuador, or Qatar would place second. Therefore, either the organisation’s fifth-ranked squad or a team with a maximum ranking of 23 would be in France’s most likely path to the semifinals.

Contextually, it also has to do with the team’s proximity to the Group of Death, commonly known as Group E. The Group of Death can be anything, depending on how it is defined. If the top two or three teams are together, then Group E with Spain and Germany might be the winner of the title.

The other group that qualifies for the title is Group F – includes Belgium and Croatia – which has two teams among the top 10 teams in The Analyst’s rankings for the competition.

Another way to look at it is to look at the average Elo scores of the teams in each group. This method is used by the football analysis organisation to establish team rankings, and it confirms that Group E is the Group of Death, while Group F is no match.

The rankings

Below is the full list of findings:

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